Montana
Big Sky · 8-4 vs FCS · 8-4 overall
Strength of record
#33
A #25-level team matches it 60% of the time
Power
#19
+11.0 pts · likely #7–35
Strength of schedule
34.6
#40 of 130
Strength of victory
19.4
#61
Record SOS
0.535
Opp. 54.1% · Opp. opp. 52.2%
Remaining SOS
70.2
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-4
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
5-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (12)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Northwestern State | W 47-0 | −5.5 | −1.9 | 0.134 | 3 | +27.4 |
| 2 | vs South Dakota | W 24-7 | −3.0 | −1.9 | 0.172 | 3 | +10.9 |
| 3 | at Indiana State | W 49-14 | −4.4 | +1.9 | 0.217 | 3 | +30.0 |
| 4 | vs Portland State | W 53-16 | −7.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 14: at North Dakota State · p 0.702