The Citadel
Southern · 3-6 vs FCS · 4-7 overall
Strength of record
#69
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#88
−4.8 pts · likely #62–112
Strength of schedule
39.3
#13 of 130
Strength of victory
22.7
#44
Record SOS
0.532
Opp. 54.5% · Opp. opp. 50.6%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-3
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against The Citadel. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Campbell | L 10-29 | +5.9 | +1.8 | 0.465 | 2 | −11.2 |
| 2 | vs East Tennessee State | W 20-17 | +0.6 | −1.8 | 0.244 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 3 | at Mercer | L 0-17 | +15.2 | +1.8 | 0.708 | 1 | −2.2 |
| 6 | vs Furman | L 10-21 | +11.6 | −1.8 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 5: at Appalachian StateFBS · L 0-49
- Wk 11: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 66-0