Mercer
Southern · 7-3 vs FCS · 7-4 overall
Strength of record
#31
A #25-level team matches it 60% of the time
Power
#12
+13.0 pts · likely #3–28
Strength of schedule
32.1
#60 of 130
Strength of victory
22.6
#45
Record SOS
0.515
Opp. 52.2% · Opp. opp. 49.9%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Morehead State | W 63-13 | −15.7 | −1.8 | 0.036 | 4 | +19.2 |
| 3 | vs The Citadel | W 17-0 | −4.8 | −1.8 | 0.144 | 3 | +10.4 |
| 4 | at Gardner-Webb | W 45-14 | +9.9 | +1.8 | 0.575 | 1 | +40.0 |
| 5 | at Wofford | W 42-7 | −4.1 | +1.8 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at AuburnFBS · L 16-42