Furman
Southern · 8-1 vs FCS · 9-2 overall
Strength of record
#9
A #25-level team matches it 12% of the time
Power
#18
+11.3 pts · likely #6–37
Strength of schedule
32.6
#58 of 130
Strength of victory
30.1
#17
Record SOS
0.506
Opp. 50.5% · Opp. opp. 50.9%
Remaining SOS
66.2
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Furman. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at East Tennessee State | W 27-14 | +0.3 | +1.8 | 0.321 | 2 | +14.2 |
| 4 | at Charleston Southern | W 24-19 | −6.1 | +1.8 | 0.183 | 3 | +2.4 |
| 5 | vs Samford | L 27-34 | +11.6 | −1.8 | 0.523 | 1 | +2.9 |
| 6 | at The Citadel | W 21-10 | −4.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Elon · p 0.531
- Wk 14: at Incarnate Word · p 0.793
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs North GreenvilleDII · W 52-0
- Wk 2: at ClemsonFBS · L 12-35