Wagner
NEC · 1-7 vs FCS · 1-9 overall
Strength of record
#117
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#125
−14.7 pts · likely #108–129
Strength of schedule
29.1
#72 of 130
Strength of victory
14.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.477
Opp. 50.9% · Opp. opp. 41.4%
Remaining SOS
21.6
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Wagner. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Fordham | L 31-48 | +11.1 | −1.9 | 0.508 | 1 | −7.9 |
| 3 | vs Saint Francis | L 7-27 | +11.9 | −1.9 | 0.528 | 1 | −9.9 |
| 6 | at Columbia | L 7-28 | +1.2 | +1.9 | 0.343 | 2 | −18.4 |
| 7 | at Merrimack | L 17-54 | +0.9 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Duquesne · p 0.216
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at RutgersFBS · L 7-66
- Wk 5: at SyracuseFBS · L 0-59