Saint Francis
NEC · 8-1 vs FCS · 8-2 overall
Strength of record
#23
A #25-level team matches it 41% of the time
Power
#15
+11.9 pts · likely #5–34
Strength of schedule
20.1
#125 of 130
Strength of victory
14.3
#82
Record SOS
0.394
Opp. 35.8% · Opp. opp. 46.5%
Remaining SOS
52.6
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Saint Francis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Richmond | L 21-31 | +13.6 | +1.9 | 0.670 | 1 | +5.0 |
| 3 | at Wagner | W 27-7 | −15.6 | +1.9 | 0.061 | 4 | +7.2 |
| 4 | at Norfolk State | W 45-26 | −15.9 | +1.9 | 0.059 | 4 | +6.0 |
| 5 | vs Central Connecticut State | W 39-13 | −10.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Merrimack · p 0.377
- Wk 13: at Delaware · p 0.674
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at AkronFBS · L 23-30