Merrimack
NEC · 7-2 vs FCS · 8-2 overall
Strength of record
#37
A #25-level team matches it 66% of the time
Power
#47
+2.8 pts · likely #30–75
Strength of schedule
23.1
#115 of 130
Strength of victory
15.8
#76
Record SOS
0.456
Opp. 44.9% · Opp. opp. 47.2%
Remaining SOS
51.5
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Merrimack. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Holy Cross | L 17-31 | +11.8 | −1.9 | 0.525 | 1 | −4.7 |
| 3 | at Harvard | L 21-28 OT | +5.4 | +1.9 | 0.454 | 2 | +4.2 |
| 4 | at Delaware State | W 26-13 | −7.5 | +1.9 | 0.160 | 3 | +7.1 |
| 5 | vs Long Island | W 24-23 | −8.1 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Saint Francis · p 0.515
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs AssumptionDII · W 45-17