Southern Illinois
MVFC · 4-5 vs FCS · 5-5 overall
Strength of record
#50
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#35
+5.3 pts · likely #21–60
Strength of schedule
43.3
#4 of 130
Strength of victory
31.7
#13
Record SOS
0.576
Opp. 59.5% · Opp. opp. 53.7%
Remaining SOS
43.6
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
3-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Incarnate Word | L 29-64 | +16.4 | +1.9 | 0.736 | 1 | −15.5 |
| 2 | vs Southeast Missouri State | L 31-34 | +14.0 | −1.9 | 0.585 | 1 | +8.7 |
| 4 | vs North Dakota | W 34-17 | +8.6 | −1.9 | 0.439 | 2 | +21.7 |
| 5 | at Illinois State | W 19-14 | +2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Youngstown State · p 0.436
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at NorthwesternFBS · W 31-24