Missouri State
MVFC · 4-5 vs FCS · 4-6 overall
Strength of record
#56
A #25-level team matches it 91% of the time
Power
#57
+0.8 pts · likely #38–88
Strength of schedule
40.3
#12 of 130
Strength of victory
35.3
#3
Record SOS
0.556
Opp. 56.7% · Opp. opp. 53.4%
Remaining SOS
19.9
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-4
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Central Arkansas | W 27-14 | +10.3 | +1.9 | 0.584 | 1 | +22.9 |
| 2 | vs UT Martin | W 35-30 | +7.6 | −1.9 | 0.414 | 2 | +9.2 |
| 4 | vs South Dakota State | L 14-28 | +16.3 | −1.9 | 0.644 | 1 | −0.5 |
| 5 | at North Dakota | L 31-48 | +5.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Indiana State · p 0.199
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at ArkansasFBS · L 27-38