Wagner
NEC · 1-6 vs FCS · 1-8 overall
Strength of record
#113
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#128
−14.9 pts · likely #107–129
Strength of schedule
30.5
#61 of 130
Strength of victory
13.0
1 wins
Record SOS
0.472
Opp. 49.1% · Opp. opp. 43.3%
Remaining SOS
21.4
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-5
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Wagner. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Fordham | L 31-48 | +9.4 | −1.9 | 0.460 | 2 | −9.9 |
| 3 | vs Saint Francis | L 7-27 | +10.1 | −1.9 | 0.481 | 2 | −11.8 |
| 6 | at Columbia | L 7-28 | +1.9 | +1.9 | 0.361 | 2 | −17.8 |
| 7 | at Merrimack | L 17-54 | +1.9 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.160
- Wk 12: at Duquesne · p 0.268
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at RutgersFBS · L 7-66
- Wk 5: at SyracuseFBS · L 0-59