Merrimack
NEC · 6-2 vs FCS · 7-2 overall
Strength of record
#34
A #25-level team matches it 65% of the time
Power
#41
+3.9 pts · likely #24–72
Strength of schedule
26.1
#99 of 130
Strength of victory
19.3
#54
Record SOS
0.488
Opp. 49.6% · Opp. opp. 47.3%
Remaining SOS
29.1
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Merrimack. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Holy Cross | L 17-31 | +12.5 | −1.9 | 0.546 | 1 | −3.8 |
| 3 | at Harvard | L 21-28 OT | +2.9 | +1.9 | 0.387 | 2 | +1.6 |
| 4 | at Delaware State | W 26-13 | −3.9 | +1.9 | 0.227 | 3 | +10.8 |
| 5 | vs Long Island | W 24-23 | −9.5 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.110
- Wk 12: vs Saint Francis · p 0.471
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs AssumptionDII · W 45-17