Central Connecticut State
NEC · 1-7 vs FCS · 1-8 overall
Strength of record
#124
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#113
−10.0 pts · likely #87–124
Strength of schedule
26.2
#98 of 130
Strength of victory
5.8
1 wins
Record SOS
0.401
Opp. 37.8% · Opp. opp. 44.7%
Remaining SOS
32.2
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-4
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Connecticut State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Sacred Heart | L 10-14 | −3.7 | −1.9 | 0.162 | 3 | −9.2 |
| 3 | at Southeastern Louisiana | L 6-70 | +8.5 | +1.9 | 0.537 | 1 | −23.9 |
| 4 | at UAlbany | L 26-45 | +1.7 | +1.9 | 0.357 | 2 | −15.4 |
| 5 | at Saint Francis | L 13-39 | +9.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Merrimack · p 0.310
- Wk 12: at Stonehill · p 0.334
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UConnFBS · L 3-28