Morehead State
Pioneer · 1-5 vs FCS · 2-6 overall
Strength of record
#119
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#127
−25.0 pts · likely #122–128
Strength of schedule
21.4
#110 of 128
Strength of victory
0.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.415
Opp. 42.3% · Opp. opp. 39.7%
Remaining SOS
14.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Austin Peay | L 7-63 | +13.1 | +2.2 | 0.666 | 1 | −20.8 |
| 3 | at Western Illinois | L 2-59 | −0.8 | +2.2 | 0.305 | 2 | −31.9 |
| 5 | vs Valparaiso | L 3-37 | −15.5 | −2.2 | 0.035 | 4 | −48.2 |
| 6 | at Dayton | L 28-56 | −2.7 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Drake · p 0.076
- Wk 10: at Marist · p 0.175
- Wk 11: vs Presbyterian · p 0.051
- Wk 12: at Butler · p 0.289
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Kentucky ChristianNon-NCAA · W 75-24
- Wk 1: vs Ohio DominicanDII · L 40-42