Butler
Pioneer · 4-2 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#60
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#68
−1.2 pts · likely #40–98
Strength of schedule
22.0
#106 of 128
Strength of victory
8.7
#82
Record SOS
0.479
Opp. 47.4% · Opp. opp. 48.8%
Remaining SOS
12.5
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Butler. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Montana State | L 24-51 | +20.8 | +2.2 | 0.831 | 1 | −3.7 |
| 3 | vs Chicago State | W 47-20 | −20.6 | −2.2 | 0.015 | 4 | +4.5 |
| 4 | at Valparaiso | W 33-28 | −12.9 | +2.2 | 0.091 | 4 | −4.9 |
| 6 | vs San Diego | W 41-10 | −7.4 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Presbyterian · p 0.091
- Wk 10: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.226
- Wk 11: at Marist · p 0.175
- Wk 12: vs Morehead State · p 0.006
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Georgetown (KY)Non-NCAA · W 27-23
- Wk 2: vs FranklinDIII · W 52-0