Southern
SWAC · 1-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#106
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#119
−14.2 pts · likely #99–124
Strength of schedule
24.0
#98 of 128
Strength of victory
31.3
1 wins
Record SOS
0.432
Opp. 43.8% · Opp. opp. 42.2%
Remaining SOS
10.9
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Alabama State | L 17-30 | −0.2 | 0.0 | 0.266 | 2 | −13.0 |
| 4 | at Jackson State | L 17-35 | +0.1 | +2.4 | 0.330 | 2 | −15.1 |
| 5 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | L 10-41 | −12.6 | −2.4 | 0.052 | 4 | −39.6 |
| 6 | at Prairie View A&M | W 28-14 | −0.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Texas Southern · p 0.084
- Wk 9: at Florida A&M · p 0.127
- Wk 10: vs Bethune-Cookman · p 0.115
- Wk 11: vs Alcorn State · p 0.094
- Wk 13: vs (N) Grambling State · p 0.124
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Kentucky StateDII · W 34-15
- Wk 2: at HoustonFBS · L 6-77
- Wk 3: vs Louisiana ChristianNon-NCAA · W 50-31