Alabama State
SWAC · 3-2 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#97
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#60
−0.0 pts · likely #36–94
Strength of schedule
9.9
#126 of 128
Strength of victory
9.4
#64
Record SOS
0.394
Opp. 36.7% · Opp. opp. 44.9%
Remaining SOS
21.2
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Southern | W 30-17 | −14.5 | 0.0 | 0.055 | 4 | −1.2 |
| 4 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 41-15 | −18.8 | −2.4 | 0.020 | 4 | +4.6 |
| 5 | at Bethune-Cookman | L 10-16 | −8.0 | +2.4 | 0.160 | 3 | −10.0 |
| 6 | vs Florida A&M | L 27-28 | −12.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs (N) Alabama A&M · p 0.392
- Wk 10: at Texas Southern · p 0.084
- Wk 11: vs Jackson State · p 0.227
- Wk 12: vs Prairie View A&M · p 0.144
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs LaneDII · W 34-0
- Wk 2: at TroyFBS · L 17-34