Gardner-Webb
OVC · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-6 overall
Strength of record
#90
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#68
−0.8 pts · likely #40–96
Strength of schedule
34.1
#51 of 128
Strength of victory
23.9
2 wins
Record SOS
0.480
Opp. 51.9% · Opp. opp. 40.2%
Remaining SOS
24.1
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Gardner-Webb. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Austin Peay | L 17-35 | +12.6 | +2.4 | 0.658 | 1 | −2.9 |
| 1 | at Wofford | L 13-17 | +5.3 | +2.4 | 0.463 | 2 | +3.1 |
| 3 | vs North Carolina Central | W 44-20 | −4.8 | −2.4 | 0.137 | 3 | +15.0 |
| 5 | at Charleston Southern | W 12-10 | +0.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Southeast Missouri State · p 0.404
- Wk 10: vs Lindenwood · p 0.225
- Wk 11: at Western Illinois · p 0.240
- Wk 12: vs Tennessee State · p 0.096
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at LibertyFBS · L 23-24
- Wk 4: at MarshallFBS · L 35-36