Eastern Illinois
OVC · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#79
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#91
−4.6 pts · likely #57–107
Strength of schedule
41.1
#26 of 128
Strength of victory
25.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.462
Opp. 41.4% · Opp. opp. 55.8%
Remaining SOS
23.8
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Eastern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Murray State | W 28-14 | −10.9 | +2.4 | 0.117 | 3 | +4.3 |
| 2 | vs Indiana State | L 35-42 | −1.5 | −2.4 | 0.191 | 3 | −10.5 |
| 3 | at Illinois State | L 13-49 | +16.2 | +2.4 | 0.743 | 1 | −15.1 |
| 4 | at South Dakota State | L 7-42 | +19.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.287
- Wk 9: at UT Martin · p 0.378
- Wk 10: vs Western Illinois · p 0.152
- Wk 11: at Tennessee State · p 0.163
- Wk 12: vs Charleston Southern · p 0.211
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MinnesotaFBS · L 7-59