Northern Colorado
Big Sky · 1-4 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#95
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#57
+0.9 pts · likely #33–90
Strength of schedule
47.3
#12 of 128
Strength of victory
9.5
1 wins
Record SOS
0.485
Opp. 48.0% · Opp. opp. 49.6%
Remaining SOS
52.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Colorado. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Weber State | L 29-30 | +3.1 | −2.6 | 0.282 | 2 | −0.2 |
| 1 | vs South Dakota | L 23-38 | +20.6 | −2.6 | 0.729 | 1 | +2.2 |
| 4 | vs Utah Tech | W 37-13 | −7.7 | −2.6 | 0.095 | 4 | +12.0 |
| 5 | at Montana | L 14-36 | +19.1 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Cal Poly · p 0.256
- Wk 8: at UC Davis · p 0.550
- Wk 10: at Southern Utah · p 0.492
- Wk 11: vs Montana State · p 0.699
- Wk 12: at Northern Arizona · p 0.625
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at WyomingFBS · L 13-21
- Wk 3: vs Northeastern StateDII · W 23-17