Montana
Big Sky · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#14
A #25-level team matches it 32% of the time
Power
#4
+19.4 pts · likely #2–15
Strength of schedule
33.0
#54 of 128
Strength of victory
27.9
#25
Record SOS
0.510
Opp. 50.8% · Opp. opp. 51.2%
Remaining SOS
42.2
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southern Utah | W 28-21 | +4.5 | −2.6 | 0.314 | 2 | +10.5 |
| 1 | vs Drake | W 45-10 | −7.1 | −2.6 | 0.102 | 3 | +25.1 |
| 2 | vs Utah Tech | W 35-14 | −11.0 | −2.6 | 0.062 | 4 | +9.0 |
| 4 | at UC Davis | W 62-22 | +13.0 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Idaho · p 0.298
- Wk 9: at Eastern Washington · p 0.462
- Wk 10: vs Portland State · p 0.172
- Wk 11: vs Idaho State · p 0.368
- Wk 12: at Montana State · p 0.810
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Oregon StateFBS · L 17-52