Incarnate Word
Southland · 1-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#47
A #25-level team matches it 89% of the time
Power
#31
+7.2 pts · likely #13–67
Strength of schedule
55.0
#1 of 128
Strength of victory
22.8
1 wins
Record SOS
0.780
Opp. 91.7% · Opp. opp. 50.7%
Remaining SOS
31.9
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Northern Arizona | L 28-38 | +8.6 | +2.8 | 0.566 | 1 | +2.3 |
| 3 | vs Houston Christian | W 30-23 OT | +0.8 | −2.8 | 0.228 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 5 | at Stephen F. Austin | L 26-28 | +21.8 | +2.8 | 0.856 | 1 | +19.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Lamar · p 0.665
- Wk 7: vs UTRGV · p 0.313
- Wk 8: vs McNeese · p 0.224
- Wk 9: vs Northwestern State · p 0.017
- Wk 10: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.526
- Wk 11: vs Nicholls State · p 0.173
- Wk 12: at East Texas A&M · p 0.313
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Oklahoma PanhandleNon-NCAA · W 76-14
- Wk 4: at Texas StateFBS · L 10-63