Youngstown State
MVFC · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#11
A #25-level team matches it 30% of the time
Power
#3
+20.8 pts · likely #1–14
Strength of schedule
47.8
#9 of 128
Strength of victory
38.4
#4
Record SOS
0.842
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 52.6%
Remaining SOS
48.2
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Youngstown State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Mercyhurst | W 43-10 | −3.3 | −2.7 | 0.154 | 3 | +25.2 |
| 2 | vs Duquesne | W 70-13 | +3.8 | −2.7 | 0.298 | 2 | +31.4 |
| 3 | at South Dakota State | L 20-27 | +16.7 | +2.7 | 0.761 | 1 | +14.1 |
| 4 | vs South Dakota | W 47-28 | +19.3 | −2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Southern Illinois · p 0.644
- Wk 6: at Indiana State · p 0.366
- Wk 7: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.439
- Wk 9: vs North Dakota · p 0.697
- Wk 10: at Murray State · p 0.077
- Wk 11: vs Illinois State · p 0.668
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at KentuckyFBS · L 13-45