South Dakota State
MVFC · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#5
A #25-level team matches it 19% of the time
Power
#6
+18.4 pts · likely #2–20
Strength of schedule
23.7
#73 of 128
Strength of victory
23.7
#20
Record SOS
0.473
Opp. 39.6% · Opp. opp. 62.6%
Remaining SOS
53.3
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Stetson | W 70-7 | −25.2 | −2.7 | 0.006 | 4 | +9.3 |
| 2 | vs New Haven | W 57-14 | −12.6 | −2.7 | 0.049 | 4 | +19.7 |
| 3 | vs Youngstown State | W 27-20 | +22.8 | −2.7 | 0.777 | 1 | +25.2 |
| 4 | vs Eastern Illinois | W 42-7 | −6.1 | −2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Illinois State · p 0.787
- Wk 7: at North Dakota · p 0.810
- Wk 8: vs Murray State · p 0.037
- Wk 9: vs South Dakota · p 0.631
- Wk 10: at Northern Iowa · p 0.583
- Wk 11: at Southern Illinois · p 0.644
- Wk 12: vs Indiana State · p 0.240
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at NorthwesternFBS · L 18-34