Western Carolina
Southern · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#44
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#34
+5.0 pts · likely #20–74
Strength of schedule
32.2
#45 of 128
Strength of victory
16.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.494
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 48.3%
Remaining SOS
37.9
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Carolina. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Eastern Kentucky | W 45-21 | +3.7 | −2.7 | 0.296 | 2 | +20.9 |
| 1 | at Campbell | L 19-28 | +7.9 | +2.7 | 0.544 | 1 | +1.7 |
| 3 | vs Presbyterian | W 58-14 | −14.6 | −2.7 | 0.037 | 4 | +15.4 |
| 4 | at East Tennessee State | L 31-58 | +3.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.651
- Wk 6: at Mercer · p 0.583
- Wk 8: vs Chattanooga · p 0.413
- Wk 9: at Furman · p 0.408
- Wk 10: vs Wofford · p 0.278
- Wk 11: at Samford · p 0.240
- Wk 12: vs The Citadel · p 0.077
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at CincinnatiFBS · L 10-62