East Tennessee State
Southern · 2-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#26
A #25-level team matches it 73% of the time
Power
#21
+9.1 pts · likely #11–59
Strength of schedule
34.3
#38 of 128
Strength of victory
34.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.537
Opp. 55.6% · Opp. opp. 50.0%
Remaining SOS
33.9
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Campbell | L 37-49 | +5.4 | −2.7 | 0.336 | 2 | −6.6 |
| 3 | vs West Georgia | W 35-27 | +1.3 | −2.7 | 0.241 | 3 | +7.7 |
| 4 | vs Western Carolina | W 58-31 | +9.9 | −2.7 | 0.453 | 2 | +29.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Chattanooga · p 0.413
- Wk 6: at The Citadel · p 0.144
- Wk 8: at VMI · p 0.028
- Wk 9: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.651
- Wk 10: vs Samford · p 0.142
- Wk 11: at Wofford · p 0.410
- Wk 12: at Mercer · p 0.583
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs TusculumDII · W 48-14
- Wk 2: at North CarolinaFBS · L 3-35