UAlbany
CAA · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#43
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#78
−1.9 pts · likely #45–102
Strength of schedule
29.9
#54 of 128
Strength of victory
25.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.366
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 59.7%
Remaining SOS
34.8
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UAlbany. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs New Hampshire | W 28-14 | −0.7 | −2.7 | 0.201 | 3 | +8.6 |
| 2 | at Long Island | W 35-13 | −1.3 | +2.7 | 0.303 | 2 | +18.2 |
| 3 | vs Monmouth | L 20-28 | +6.3 | −2.7 | 0.359 | 2 | −3.7 |
| 4 | at Princeton | L 0-22 | −0.1 | +2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Delaware State · p 0.223
- Wk 7: at Stony Brook · p 0.612
- Wk 8: at Rhode Island · p 0.495
- Wk 9: vs Campbell · p 0.418
- Wk 10: at Bryant · p 0.438
- Wk 11: vs Maine · p 0.110
- Wk 12: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.140
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at BuffaloFBS · L 17-21