Monmouth
CAA · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#12
A #25-level team matches it 35% of the time
Power
#28
+7.0 pts · likely #15–66
Strength of schedule
46.2
#14 of 128
Strength of victory
37.6
#6
Record SOS
0.555
Opp. 54.2% · Opp. opp. 58.2%
Remaining SOS
21.1
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Monmouth. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Sacred Heart | W 31-24 | +0.4 | −2.7 | 0.223 | 3 | +5.2 |
| 1 | at Tennessee Tech | L 14-38 | +14.9 | +2.7 | 0.720 | 1 | −4.6 |
| 3 | at UAlbany | W 28-20 | −0.7 | +2.7 | 0.316 | 2 | +8.8 |
| 4 | at Dartmouth | W 31-28 | +9.6 | +2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Towson · p 0.126
- Wk 7: at New Hampshire · p 0.265
- Wk 8: at Hampton · p 0.044
- Wk 9: vs Bryant · p 0.302
- Wk 10: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.075
- Wk 11: vs Merrimack · p 0.102
- Wk 12: at Campbell · p 0.562
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Western MichiganFBS · L 14-49