North Dakota
MVFC · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#10
A #25-level team matches it 27% of the time
Power
#5
+19.0 pts · likely #2–19
Strength of schedule
27.1
#64 of 128
Strength of victory
27.1
#15
Record SOS
0.553
Opp. 54.2% · Opp. opp. 57.6%
Remaining SOS
58.1
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Long Island | W 42-21 | −8.7 | −2.7 | 0.083 | 4 | +11.8 |
| 1 | vs St. Thomas (MN) | W 62-26 | +8.1 | −2.7 | 0.405 | 2 | +36.4 |
| 2 | at Portland State | W 47-23 | −2.5 | +2.7 | 0.276 | 2 | +23.0 |
| 4 | at Indiana State | W 42-35 | −0.6 | +2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Murray State · p 0.037
- Wk 6: at Northern Iowa · p 0.583
- Wk 7: vs South Dakota State · p 0.675
- Wk 8: at South Dakota · p 0.758
- Wk 9: at Youngstown State · p 0.843
- Wk 10: vs Illinois State · p 0.668
- Wk 12: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.503
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at NebraskaFBS · L 7-34