Montana
Big Sky · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#4
A #25-level team matches it 17% of the time
Power
#1
+21.8 pts · likely #1–13
Strength of schedule
30.0
#53 of 128
Strength of victory
30.0
#11
Record SOS
0.521
Opp. 45.8% · Opp. opp. 64.6%
Remaining SOS
41.4
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southern Utah | W 28-21 | +5.5 | −2.7 | 0.339 | 2 | +12.1 |
| 1 | vs Drake | W 45-10 | −6.3 | −2.7 | 0.111 | 3 | +25.6 |
| 2 | vs Utah Tech | W 35-14 | −11.3 | −2.7 | 0.060 | 4 | +9.9 |
| 4 | at UC Davis | W 62-22 | +13.6 | +2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.231
- Wk 6: at Northern Arizona · p 0.534
- Wk 7: vs Idaho · p 0.267
- Wk 9: at Eastern Washington · p 0.431
- Wk 10: vs Portland State · p 0.151
- Wk 11: vs Idaho State · p 0.466
- Wk 12: at Montana State · p 0.820
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Oregon StateFBS · L 17-52