Drake
Pioneer · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#70
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#102
−6.7 pts · likely #66–113
Strength of schedule
44.0
#16 of 128
Strength of victory
2.0
1 wins
Record SOS
0.576
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 39.4%
Remaining SOS
14.8
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Drake. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Montana | L 10-45 | +20.6 | +2.7 | 0.833 | 1 | −10.5 |
| 2 | at Northern Iowa | L 14-56 | +5.1 | +2.7 | 0.467 | 2 | −22.9 |
| 4 | at Davidson | W 51-32 | −23.8 | +2.7 | 0.020 | 4 | −2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Dayton · p 0.195
- Wk 6: at Valparaiso · p 0.044
- Wk 7: vs Marist · p 0.155
- Wk 8: vs Butler · p 0.123
- Wk 9: at Morehead State · p 0.038
- Wk 10: vs San Diego · p 0.057
- Wk 11: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.423
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs South Dakota MinesDII · L 35-38