William & Mary
Patriot · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#30
A #25-level team matches it 84% of the time
Power
#72
−1.2 pts · likely #41–97
Strength of schedule
42.0
#17 of 128
Strength of victory
39.9
2 wins
Record SOS
0.662
Opp. 75.0% · Opp. opp. 48.6%
Remaining SOS
24.6
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Villanova | W 35-32 | +6.5 | +2.8 | 0.510 | 1 | +9.8 |
| 1 | vs Delaware State | W 22-15 | +3.5 | −2.8 | 0.288 | 2 | +5.2 |
| 2 | at Lehigh | L 20-44 | +18.1 | +2.8 | 0.790 | 1 | −3.0 |
| 3 | vs Fordham | L 27-52 | −7.8 | −2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Holy Cross · p 0.135
- Wk 6: at North Carolina Central · p 0.180
- Wk 8: vs Georgetown · p 0.110
- Wk 9: at Colgate · p 0.561
- Wk 10: vs Lafayette · p 0.230
- Wk 11: vs Bucknell · p 0.096
- Wk 12: at Richmond · p 0.407