Villanova
Patriot · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#37
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#40
+3.9 pts · likely #21–78
Strength of schedule
16.7
#56 of 128
Strength of victory
17.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.361
Opp. 22.2% · Opp. opp. 63.9%
Remaining SOS
33.2
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Bucknell | W 17-16 | −9.1 | +2.8 | 0.150 | 3 | −3.6 |
| 1 | vs William & Mary | L 32-35 | −3.3 | −2.8 | 0.153 | 3 | −7.0 |
| 3 | at Long Island | W 20-16 | −6.4 | +2.8 | 0.197 | 3 | +1.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Colgate · p 0.410
- Wk 5: vs Morgan State · p 0.217
- Wk 7: at Fordham · p 0.376
- Wk 8: vs Lehigh · p 0.676
- Wk 9: at Lafayette · p 0.360
- Wk 10: vs Richmond · p 0.269
- Wk 11: at Holy Cross · p 0.235
- Wk 12: vs Georgetown · p 0.110
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at LouisvilleFBS · L 13-59