UC Davis
Big Sky · 3-0 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#17
A #25-level team matches it 61% of the time
Power
#14
+13.6 pts · likely #6–37
Strength of schedule
14.6
#59 of 128
Strength of victory
14.6
#16
Record SOS
0.444
Opp. 16.7% · Opp. opp. 100.0%
Remaining SOS
34.4
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Portland State | W 31-24 | −7.5 | +2.8 | 0.177 | 3 | +5.1 |
| 1 | at San Diego | W 49-17 | −3.7 | +2.8 | 0.252 | 2 | +27.7 |
| 3 | vs Stetson | W 45-7 | −22.7 | −2.8 | 0.010 | 4 | +10.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Montana · p 0.612
- Wk 5: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.336
- Wk 7: at Southern Utah · p 0.524
- Wk 8: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.191
- Wk 9: at Weber State · p 0.410
- Wk 10: vs Utah Tech · p 0.102
- Wk 11: at Idaho · p 0.378
- Wk 12: vs Cal Poly · p 0.197
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at SMUFBS · L 10-56