San Diego
Pioneer · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
#34
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#102
−7.1 pts · likely #63–113
Strength of schedule
46.4
#11 of 128
Strength of victory
43.6
1 wins
Record SOS
0.713
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 13.9%
Remaining SOS
14.7
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against San Diego. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs UC Davis | L 17-49 | +9.9 | −2.8 | 0.448 | 2 | −21.2 |
| 2 | at Idaho State | L 17-59 | +6.4 | +2.8 | 0.508 | 1 | −20.9 |
| 3 | at Cal Poly | W 38-35 | +3.8 | +2.8 | 0.436 | 2 | +5.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.331
- Wk 5: vs Davidson · p 0.008
- Wk 6: at Butler · p 0.270
- Wk 7: vs Valparaiso · p 0.016
- Wk 8: at Dayton · p 0.321
- Wk 9: vs Marist · p 0.092
- Wk 10: at Drake · p 0.128
- Wk 12: vs Stetson · p 0.011