Valparaiso
Pioneer · 0-1 vs FCS · 1-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#125
−19.4 pts · likely #108–127
Strength of schedule
12.5
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.000
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 0.0%
Remaining SOS
13.4
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Valparaiso. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Murray State | L 18-27 | −10.3 | +2.3 | 0.125 | 3 | −17.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 3: at Indiana State · p 0.311
- Wk 4: vs Butler · p 0.135
- Wk 5: at Morehead State · p 0.059
- Wk 6: vs Drake · p 0.068
- Wk 7: at San Diego · p 0.117
- Wk 8: vs Presbyterian · p 0.090
- Wk 10: at Dayton · p 0.234
- Wk 11: at Stetson · p 0.021
- Wk 12: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.170
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Lawrence TechNon-NCAA · W 59-13