Murray State
MVFC · 1-1 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#111
−10.8 pts · likely #79–122
Strength of schedule
6.0
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
1.6
1 wins
Record SOS
0.083
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 25.0%
Remaining SOS
59.6
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Eastern Illinois | L 14-28 | −7.1 | −2.3 | 0.105 | 3 | −20.2 |
| 2 | vs Valparaiso | W 27-18 | −20.3 | −2.3 | 0.016 | 4 | −12.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.427
- Wk 5: at North Dakota · p 0.812
- Wk 7: vs South Dakota · p 0.673
- Wk 8: at South Dakota State · p 0.696
- Wk 9: at Illinois State · p 0.778
- Wk 10: vs Youngstown State · p 0.719
- Wk 11: at Indiana State · p 0.311
- Wk 12: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.353
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Middle TennesseeFBS · L 14-38