Dartmouth
Ivy · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#18
A #25-level team matches it 38% of the time
Power
#22
+9.5 pts · likely #12–48
Strength of schedule
31.5
#66 of 129
Strength of victory
30.3
#14
Record SOS
0.562
Opp. 54.7% · Opp. opp. 59.3%
Remaining SOS
37.5
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dartmouth. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vs New Hampshire | W 27-20 | +5.6 | −2.4 | 0.349 | 2 | +10.1 |
| 5 | at Central Connecticut State | W 35-28 | +0.3 | +2.4 | 0.335 | 2 | +10.1 |
| 6 | at Penn | L 24-36 | +1.8 | +2.4 | 0.373 | 2 | −5.8 |
| 7 | vs Yale | W 17-16 | +12.9 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Harvard · p 0.814
- Wk 11: vs Princeton · p 0.219
- Wk 12: vs Cornell · p 0.139
- Wk 13: at Brown · p 0.330