Central Connecticut State
NEC · 4-2 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#55
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#61
+0.7 pts · likely #38–86
Strength of schedule
19.3
#114 of 129
Strength of victory
11.5
#74
Record SOS
0.430
Opp. 39.4% · Opp. opp. 50.1%
Remaining SOS
30.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Connecticut State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Saint Francis | W 31-7 | −17.8 | −2.4 | 0.024 | 4 | +4.2 |
| 4 | at Merrimack | L 14-16 | −3.0 | +2.4 | 0.256 | 2 | −1.7 |
| 5 | vs Dartmouth | L 28-35 | +9.1 | −2.4 | 0.440 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 6 | vs Sacred Heart | W 42-35 OT | −2.6 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Long Island · p 0.127
- Wk 11: vs Stonehill · p 0.112
- Wk 12: at Duquesne · p 0.520
- Wk 13: vs Mercyhurst · p 0.143
- Wk 14: at Rhode Island · p 0.597
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UConnFBS · L 13-59
- Wk 2: vs American InternationalDII · W 34-7