Western Carolina
Southern · 4-2 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#44
A #25-level team matches it 81% of the time
Power
#30
+7.6 pts · likely #17–55
Strength of schedule
26.7
#91 of 129
Strength of victory
24.7
#31
Record SOS
0.524
Opp. 52.5% · Opp. opp. 52.1%
Remaining SOS
31.9
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Carolina. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Gardner-Webb | L 45-52 | +0.9 | −2.2 | 0.242 | 3 | −6.1 |
| 3 | vs Elon | L 31-37 | +6.3 | −2.2 | 0.371 | 2 | −0.7 |
| 4 | vs Samford | W 50-35 | −13.2 | −2.2 | 0.049 | 4 | +2.0 |
| 5 | at Campbell | W 42-35 | −2.3 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at The Citadel · p 0.296
- Wk 10: at Chattanooga · p 0.260
- Wk 11: vs Mercer · p 0.549
- Wk 12: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.421
- Wk 13: at VMI · p 0.071
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Wake ForestFBS · L 10-42