Gardner-Webb
OVC · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#11
A #25-level team matches it 24% of the time
Power
#47
+3.1 pts · likely #27–78
Strength of schedule
27.7
#82 of 129
Strength of victory
27.7
#25
Record SOS
0.571
Opp. 53.8% · Opp. opp. 63.8%
Remaining SOS
27.8
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Gardner-Webb. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Western Carolina | W 52-45 | +8.6 | +2.2 | 0.550 | 1 | +16.8 |
| 3 | vs The Citadel | W 23-13 | −0.5 | −2.2 | 0.213 | 3 | +6.8 |
| 6 | vs Charleston Southern | W 30-27 | −6.8 | −2.2 | 0.111 | 3 | −4.2 |
| 7 | at Eastern Illinois | W 21-10 | −3.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs UT Martin · p 0.243
- Wk 9: at Lindenwood · p 0.349
- Wk 10: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.679
- Wk 11: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.186
- Wk 12: at Tennessee State · p 0.127
- Wk 13: vs Western Illinois · p 0.085
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Georgia TechFBS · L 12-59
- Wk 4: at OhioFBS · L 35-52