Stonehill
NEC · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#82
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#100
−7.1 pts · likely #70–113
Strength of schedule
33.7
#53 of 129
Strength of victory
27.9
2 wins
Record SOS
0.556
Opp. 59.2% · Opp. opp. 48.5%
Remaining SOS
22.4
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-3
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stonehill. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Sacred Heart | L 7-12 | −2.2 | +2.2 | 0.271 | 2 | −5.2 |
| 2 | vs Lafayette | L 26-42 | +4.4 | −2.2 | 0.322 | 2 | −12.9 |
| 3 | at Maine | W 13-10 | +4.4 | +2.2 | 0.436 | 2 | +7.4 |
| 4 | vs Penn | L 21-24 | +6.0 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Yale · p 0.505
- Wk 9: at Mercyhurst · p 0.330
- Wk 10: vs Robert Morris · p 0.065
- Wk 11: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.328
- Wk 12: at Wagner · p 0.090
- Wk 13: vs Saint Francis · p 0.025