Duquesne
NEC · 3-1 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#53
A #25-level team matches it 89% of the time
Power
#26
+8.3 pts · likely #14–54
Strength of schedule
18.9
#111 of 129
Strength of victory
6.5
#61
Record SOS
0.481
Opp. 43.3% · Opp. opp. 57.6%
Remaining SOS
18.7
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Duquesne. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Lehigh | L 21-35 | +13.5 | −2.2 | 0.562 | 1 | −1.5 |
| 5 | vs New Haven | W 44-18 | −14.0 | −2.2 | 0.044 | 4 | +10.5 |
| 6 | vs Stonehill | W 34-14 | −6.2 | −2.2 | 0.119 | 3 | +10.8 |
| 7 | vs Saint Francis | W 52-7 | −16.2 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Mercyhurst · p 0.330
- Wk 9: at Wagner · p 0.090
- Wk 11: at Long Island · p 0.176
- Wk 12: vs Central Connecticut State · p 0.229
- Wk 13: at Robert Morris · p 0.113
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at PittsburghFBS · L 9-61
- Wk 2: vs Lincoln (PA)DII · W 55-14
- Wk 4: at AkronFBS · L 7-51