South Dakota State
MVFC · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-0 overall
Strength of record
#1
A #25-level team matches it 3.7% of the time
Power
#2
+26.4 pts · likely #1–5
Strength of schedule
42.6
#17 of 129
Strength of victory
42.6
#1
Record SOS
0.523
Opp. 47.9% · Opp. opp. 60.9%
Remaining SOS
48.9
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Sacramento State | W 20-3 | +8.9 | −2.6 | 0.429 | 2 | +23.2 |
| 2 | at Montana State | W 30-24 OT | +25.5 | +2.6 | 0.903 | 1 | +30.4 |
| 3 | vs Drake | W 37-21 | −4.6 | −2.6 | 0.137 | 3 | +13.3 |
| 5 | vs Mercyhurst | W 51-7 | +0.9 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Youngstown State · p 0.600
- Wk 7: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.251
- Wk 8: at Murray State · p 0.118
- Wk 9: vs North Dakota State · p 0.901
- Wk 10: vs Indiana State · p 0.183
- Wk 11: at South Dakota · p 0.565
- Wk 12: vs Illinois State · p 0.370
- Wk 13: at North Dakota · p 0.694
- Wk 14: vs New Hampshire · p 0.446
- Wk 15: at Montana · p 0.763