Mercer
Southern · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#18
A #25-level team matches it 55% of the time
Power
#11
+12.4 pts · likely #7–37
Strength of schedule
35.8
#38 of 129
Strength of victory
40.6
#3
Record SOS
0.573
Opp. 54.2% · Opp. opp. 63.6%
Remaining SOS
24.7
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | L 10-15 | −0.1 | −2.6 | 0.215 | 3 | −4.1 |
| 3 | vs Wofford | W 22-21 | −1.0 | −2.6 | 0.197 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 4 | at The Citadel | W 38-0 | +3.3 | +2.6 | 0.416 | 2 | +36.3 |
| 5 | at East Tennessee State | W 38-34 | +10.3 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Samford · p 0.049
- Wk 7: at Princeton · p 0.313
- Wk 9: vs VMI · p 0.053
- Wk 10: at Furman · p 0.350
- Wk 11: at Western Carolina · p 0.374
- Wk 12: vs Chattanooga · p 0.164
- Wk 15: vs South Dakota · p 0.426