East Tennessee State
Southern · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#35
A #25-level team matches it 84% of the time
Power
#25
+9.2 pts · likely #11–52
Strength of schedule
41.1
#21 of 129
Strength of victory
24.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.606
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 48.5%
Remaining SOS
22.7
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Murray State | W 45-17 | −9.2 | −2.6 | 0.079 | 4 | +14.7 |
| 3 | at West Georgia | L 31-35 | +13.0 | +2.6 | 0.673 | 1 | +10.6 |
| 4 | vs Elon | W 26-16 | +7.9 | −2.6 | 0.401 | 2 | +14.2 |
| 5 | vs Mercer | L 34-38 | +11.1 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Furman · p 0.350
- Wk 7: vs VMI · p 0.053
- Wk 8: at Chattanooga · p 0.265
- Wk 9: vs Wofford · p 0.263
- Wk 11: at Samford · p 0.095
- Wk 12: at Western Carolina · p 0.374
- Wk 13: vs The Citadel · p 0.189
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at TennesseeFBS · L 17-72