Western Carolina
Southern · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#49
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#58
+1.6 pts · likely #31–87
Strength of schedule
20.9
#50 of 129
Strength of victory
6.0
1 wins
Record SOS
0.454
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 36.1%
Remaining SOS
30.0
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Carolina. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Gardner-Webb | L 45-52 | −1.0 | −1.8 | 0.213 | 3 | −7.2 |
| 3 | vs Elon | L 31-37 | +5.2 | −1.8 | 0.353 | 2 | −1.8 |
| 4 | vs Samford | W 50-35 | −12.2 | −1.8 | 0.060 | 4 | +1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Campbell · p 0.222
- Wk 6: at Wofford · p 0.377
- Wk 7: vs Furman · p 0.207
- Wk 8: at The Citadel · p 0.196
- Wk 10: at Chattanooga · p 0.339
- Wk 11: vs Mercer · p 0.477
- Wk 12: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.489
- Wk 13: at VMI · p 0.097
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Wake ForestFBS · L 10-42