Elon
CAA · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#18
A #25-level team matches it 79% of the time
Power
#33
+6.0 pts · likely #18–67
Strength of schedule
31.1
#28 of 129
Strength of victory
18.9
2 wins
Record SOS
0.420
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 59.3%
Remaining SOS
28.9
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Elon. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Davidson | W 55-7 | −20.8 | −1.8 | 0.016 | 4 | +11.7 |
| 3 | at Western Carolina | W 37-31 | +2.0 | +1.8 | 0.363 | 2 | +9.4 |
| 4 | at East Tennessee State | L 16-26 | +9.2 | +1.8 | 0.554 | 1 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Hampton · p 0.096
- Wk 6: at Towson · p 0.466
- Wk 7: vs Villanova · p 0.325
- Wk 8: at William & Mary · p 0.402
- Wk 9: at Maine · p 0.280
- Wk 11: vs Rhode Island · p 0.472
- Wk 12: at Campbell · p 0.222
- Wk 13: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.051
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at DukeFBS · L 17-45