Tarleton State
UAC · 4-0 vs FCS · 5-0 overall
Strength of record
#6
A #25-level team matches it 34% of the time
Power
#4
+21.6 pts · likely #2–11
Strength of schedule
22.7
#43 of 129
Strength of victory
22.7
#9
Record SOS
0.403
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 70.8%
Remaining SOS
42.6
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Portland State | W 42-0 | −2.0 | +1.8 | 0.266 | 2 | +31.9 |
| 2 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 59-3 | −19.2 | −1.8 | 0.021 | 4 | +15.7 |
| 3 | at Central Arkansas | W 56-10 | +0.6 | +1.8 | 0.327 | 2 | +33.9 |
| 4 | vs Chattanooga | W 52-24 | +2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Southern Utah · p 0.349
- Wk 7: at Utah Tech · p 0.357
- Wk 8: vs West Georgia · p 0.559
- Wk 9: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.379
- Wk 10: at Abilene Christian · p 0.639
- Wk 12: vs North Alabama · p 0.265
- Wk 13: vs Austin Peay · p 0.368
- Wk 15: vs North Dakota · p 0.594
- Wk 17: vs Villanova · p 0.325
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ArmyFBS · W 30-27