Central Arkansas
UAC · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#39
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#77
−2.9 pts · likely #47–102
Strength of schedule
43.0
#11 of 129
Strength of victory
3.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.596
Opp. 75.0% · Opp. opp. 28.7%
Remaining SOS
44.1
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Arkansas. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 41-17 | −15.6 | −1.8 | 0.037 | 4 | +3.7 |
| 3 | vs Tarleton State | L 10-56 | +18.9 | −1.8 | 0.710 | 1 | −15.2 |
| 4 | at Sacramento State | L 16-45 | +8.8 | +1.8 | 0.544 | 1 | −15.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Lamar · p 0.520
- Wk 6: vs Utah Tech · p 0.272
- Wk 7: at North Alabama · p 0.349
- Wk 9: at West Georgia · p 0.651
- Wk 10: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.292
- Wk 11: at Austin Peay · p 0.461
- Wk 12: at Southern Utah · p 0.441
- Wk 13: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.546
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MissouriFBS · L 6-61