Mercyhurst
NEC · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#34
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#64
+0.5 pts · likely #39–91
Strength of schedule
53.9
#2 of 129
Strength of victory
9.5
1 wins
Record SOS
0.588
Opp. 62.5% · Opp. opp. 51.4%
Remaining SOS
24.7
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercyhurst. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Youngstown State | L 15-24 | +11.3 | +1.8 | 0.610 | 1 | +3.2 |
| 2 | vs New Haven | W 48-14 | −8.6 | −1.8 | 0.095 | 4 | +19.3 |
| 3 | at Sacramento State | L 28-49 | +10.1 | +1.8 | 0.577 | 1 | −7.1 |
| 4 | at Montana State | L 0-17 | +24.1 | +1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at South Dakota State · p 0.893
- Wk 6: vs Long Island · p 0.122
- Wk 7: at Wagner · p 0.078
- Wk 8: vs Duquesne · p 0.299
- Wk 9: vs Stonehill · p 0.093
- Wk 11: at Saint Francis · p 0.047
- Wk 12: vs Robert Morris · p 0.081
- Wk 13: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.364